Category: Latin America
Covid-19, Political Unrest, and Economic Challenges: Five Countries To Watch Closely in the Second Half of 2021
On a global scale, people are angry at the current health and economic environment with protests becoming increasingly prevalent. The question for political analysts and investors is whether the anger and unrest boils to an unsustainable level for some countries….
The Return of Lula, Brazil’s Economic Volatility, and Opportunistic Investment
Brazil is full of opportunities…if you ignore the populist rhetoric that will accompany the October 2022 elections.
Coronavirus is Opportunity (for Investors) in Latin America
Latin America remains significantly impacted by the pandemic with three of its largest economies—Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina—among the world’s biggest covid-19 hotspots. And, as these country’s leaders struggle to stave off economic and health catastrophe one after another, (distressed) investors will find additional opportunity to allocate capital…
Hopefully Stating the Obvious…Chile Is Not A Nordic Country
As the assembly to write a new Chilean constitution is elected and Chileans ponder the new social contract for the country, many in the socialist camp should be more honest with their followers: Chile cannot be a Latin American version of a Nordic country, but it can be a better version of itself…
Top 10 Economies to Watch in 2021
The distribution of vaccines is changing the economic outlook in 2021 with most politicians and investors forecasting a continued recovery. Yet the political and economic risks that preceded the covid-19 pandemic remain alongside the lockdown measures necessary to combat the virus. The year will be turbulent for some countries as public confidence and investor sentiment vacillates with optimism and skepticism on vaccine acceptance rates and economic output numbers. Several countries are likely to be bellwethers for the markets, or at least, provide some directional insight on the global economy’s recovery…
Joe Biden and South America: What to Expect in Key Countries?
A Biden administration should be expected to be a partner to Latin America due to Biden’s prior enthusiasm and interest in the region. That said, increased diplomatic communication and engagement does not necessarily suggest a major shift in policy…
Argentina: Nothing is Certain but Death and Taxes
Argentines are struggling with covid-19 and a three-year recession. The government currently completed a $65 billion restructuring and now wants to tax its way out of a recession…
Bolivia’s Left Will Win But Hopefully With a Different Economic Strategy
Bolivia’s left will win but hopefully with a different economic strategy. It is not clear who will fund the socialist agenda in the short-term…
Ecuador and Argentina: An Unfair Comparison for the Nicer Ecuador
Ecuador is not a jaded lover when it comes to the international markets. It is doing all it can to reach a quick restructuring deal with its creditors…