Category: Africa
Top Foreign Policy Issues Facing Next U.S. President on Day 1
The 2024 U.S. presidential election is in full swing with candidates talking economic policy but partially skirting round foreign policy challenges. The foreign policy debate has been limited with most commentary focused on whether the policy will be more “arrogant” or “predictable”, neither of which are informative descriptions for a candidate or directionally insightful as a strategy. The next U.S. president will face several key issues on day 1 and, while temperament can be part of the test, there is a question of policy answers and details…
Top 10 Economies To Watch In 2024
2024 is the year of elections…for most voters, “It’s the economy, stupid” may reign supreme…these are 10 bellwether economies to watch in 2024…
Niger Is A Reminder That the War in Ukraine Is Not About a Fight for Democracy
The latest sequence of events in Niger is a reminder that the war in Ukraine (and sanctions against Russia) is not about a fight for democracy…
Is Mali The French Version Of Afghanistan (With Some Caveats)?
Many are wondering whether French President Emmanuel Macron’s entanglement in the Sahel is analogous to the troubles that foreign powers have faced in Afghanistan. The Wagner Group (and Russia) will likely determine the answer…
Three Inputs Often Overlooked In The Energy Transition Process
Recent legislation in the U.S. and Europe (and a war in Ukraine) is accelerating energy transition. Yet, the overhaul of policy requires significant change in other aspects of the economic system and individual livelihoods – in particular, the limited resources of metals and rare earth elements, water and land become significantly more important.
Top 10 Economies To Watch In 2023
Everyone knows economists have a poor track record of predicting recessions. Yet, it is hard to ignore the growing consensus among economists that the combination of inflation and interest rate hikes alongside tempered Chinese demand and US economic uncertainty could be the perfect storm for a global recession.
Those same economists, however, disagree on the depth and length of a potential recession as well as the underlying indicators that will answer their questions. Thus, instead of agreeing on a list of indicators, let’s focus on some countries that could be bellwethers for changing headwinds in 2023…
Nigeria, Libya, DRC…Top elections to watch in Africa in 2023
Africa is a big continent with 54 countries. Thus it should come as no surprise that there are many elections to watch in 2023 with many elections expected to be very competitive…
Qatar’s World Cup Gives Hope to Other Aspiring Countries
Qatar’s bid to host this year’s World Cup was always going to be controversial: the summers are too hot; there are not enough stadiums, hotels, and other necessary facilities; the country does not have a football culture. Still, the question of money and its influence in football should not overshadow the globalization of the sport. This World Cup is likely the prologue to more star Arab football players and maybe another Arab country hosting it…
Lessons From Zambia’s Debt Restructuring
President Hakainde Hichilema is creating a new playbook for African restructurings…









